The Thinker’s lone position closed at $368.74, netting a $383 profit while the market fell 3.07% on GOOGL.
Week in Review
Monday opened at $380.39 and slid to $376.17 by mid‑day, triggering a Mean‑Reversion buy. The price barely recovered, leaving the bot flat for the rest of the day. On Tuesday, a Trend‑Following signal sold at $366.14 before the stock dipped to $360.23, a move that pushed the bot into a loss‑cutting position. By Wednesday, the bot had two short legs: a Trend‑Following loss of $637 and a Mean‑Reversion loss of $158, leaving the portfolio near $99,300. Thursday’s trend reversal at $372.84 pulled the bot back up to $368.68, but the subsequent sell at $364.50 on Friday pushed the equity down to $99,387.75. The only profitable trade came from a late‑Friday sell at $368.74, which closed at $364.74, generating a $383 gain and a final equity of $99,617.00.
What Worked — and What Didn’t
The Thinker’s single, trailing‑stop trade was the only profitable action, earning 0.38% on the week. The Trend‑Following strategy fired on both buy and sell signals but produced mixed results: a $551 win on a short at $369.99 and a $637 loss on a short at $360.23. Mean‑Reversion produced three shorts, all losing between 0.86% and 2.67%. Momentum and The Reader stayed flat, as their signals did not trigger during the week. The Thinker operated in a TRENDING regime (ADX 25.7) when it sold, confirming that its ADX‑based exit logic captured a brief pullback. The other strategies were largely in RANGING or neutral regimes, limiting their effectiveness.
The Mechanism
GOOGL’s price action was dominated by a down‑trend from $380 to $360, punctuated by a brief rally to $373 on Thursday. Trend‑Following relied on EMA crossovers, which misidentified the brief rally as a reversal, causing premature entries. Mean‑Reversion, which uses Bollinger Bands and RSI thresholds, entered shorts when RSI rose above 70, but the subsequent price decline was insufficient to recover the initial loss. The Thinker’s ADX‑based exit captured a small retracement before the stock resumed its downward path, explaining its modest profit. Momentum and The Reader had no signals because the volatility remained low, keeping their indicators within neutral zones.
Current Standings
At week’s end, Trend‑Following sits at $99,387.75, 0.61% below start; Mean‑Reversion at $99,114.03, 0.89% below; Momentum and The Reader remain flat at $100,000; The Thinker at $99,617.00, 0.38% above start. All are trailing the GOOGL buy‑and‑hold benchmark, which fell 3.07% to $96,931.43. No strategy outperformed the benchmark.
Next Week
Watch GOOGL’s earnings on June 12, which could trigger higher volatility. Pay attention to the 12‑hour moving‑average crossover at $375 and the 20‑hour RSI level of 70, as they may generate new Trend‑Following or Mean‑Reversion signals. Also monitor macro data on June 15, which could influence the broader market trend.